The article addresses the problem of evaluating the results of specialists as they graduate from
their training. There are difficulties, not only with the decreasing number of students in training
courses, but also with inadequate methods for educational management. There is a growing need
for managers and subject lecturers to obtain information on the results of specialists’ training and
graduation. This article sets out a method for evaluating the results of the educational management
using the probability multiplication theorem for dependent events. The study shows that the results
of the educational process can - and should - be managed if the results of training and graduation
are periodically evaluated. At the same time, the evaluation results are of great value to the university
and improve the educational management. They show the scale of the specialists’ training and
graduation in relation to their training task and create a data base for subjects enabling appropriate
managerial decisions aimed at maximizing approaching the results of the specialists’ graduation to
their training task. It is of practical and scientific importance for the permanent staff of vocational
educational institutions when developing managerial decisions for qualified specialists’ training, as
well as for graduate students and researchers involved in the study of the effectiveness of educational
management.